The Bihar exit poll results 2025 indicate a strong advantage for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. Multiple poll agencies, including Matrize, P-Marq, and Peoples Pulse, project a comfortable majority for the NDA. Their estimates range from 130 to 209 seats in the 243-member Bihar Assembly. In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance), led by Tejashwi Yadav, is expected to secure only 70 to 102 seats. The numbers point to another term for the BJP-JDU-led alliance.
Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025 Show Strong NDA Lead
According to most exit polls, the NDA continues to dominate Bihar’s political scene. The alliance — made up of the BJP, JD(U), LJP (Ram Vilas), HAM(S), and RLM — appears to have gained from Nitish Kumar’s leadership and the BJP’s strong organizational network.
In comparison, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party has made only a minor impact. Most projections give it between 0 and 5 seats, showing that it failed to influence the voter base significantly.
The Bihar exit poll results 2025 also highlight a historic voter turnout. The Election Commission reported a 66.91% turnout, the highest in Bihar’s assembly election history. The second phase, held on November 11, saw 68.67% turnout, reflecting strong participation across the state.
Mahagathbandhan Faces Tough Road Ahead
The Mahagathbandhan, which includes the RJD, Congress, and Left parties, seems set to fall short of the 122-seat majority mark. Tejashwi Yadav’s campaign focused on employment and governance, but the alliance appears unable to shift the overall voter sentiment.
Among the Grand Alliance, the RJD contested 143 seats, Congress 61, and the Left parties the remainder. Analysts believe that divided votes among smaller parties and shifts in caste dynamics strengthened the NDA’s lead.
What Happens Next
The final results will be announced on November 14, when counting begins under tight security across all 38 districts. Political experts caution that exit polls can sometimes miss the mark, but the trends still point to a clear lead for the NDA.
If these projections hold, the Bihar exit poll results 2025 could confirm another victory for Nitish Kumar and further strengthen the BJP-JDU alliance. The outcome will also shape Bihar’s political direction ahead of future national elections.
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